Every Friday, The Next Prez ranks the top five presidential candidates in the Democratic, Republican, and third party camps. This week's rankings:
Democrats
1. Hillary Clinton (steady) -- Holding steady above 30 percent in the polls, but may be forced into entering the race formally earlier than planned by Obama.
2. Barack Obama (steady) -- Basking in extended publicity over the possibility that he will seek the nomination, but needs to decide soon.
3. John Edwards (steady) -- Could be the big winner if Obama decides to sit this one out.
4. Bill Richardson (rising) -- Getting his own fair share of publicity in recent days, and could gain from concern over the relative inexperience of Obama and Edwards.
5. Wesley Clark (steady) -- Challenges Obama and Edwards in online polls, but trails in scientific polling.
Republicans
1. Rudy Giuliani (steady) -- The mainstream media is waking up to the fact that he's in the race, but conservatives are beginning to examine his record more closely.
2. John McCain (steady) -- Continues to trail Giuliani in party preference polls, but fares equally well against likely Democratic challengers.
3. Mitt Romney (steady) -- Holding steady in the third spot as Brownback and other conservatives prepare to enter the race.
4. Newt Gingrich (falling) -- Sounds less like a serious contender, but maintains appreciable support in national polls.
5. Sam Brownback (rising) -- Could move up quickly with Frist, Allen, and Santorum out of the way.
Third Parties and Independents
1. Steve Kubby (steady) -- Gaining momentum as the Libertarian leader, but a big-name rival could still be on the horizon.
2. Steve Adams (steady) -- 47,000 website visitors, 338 registered supporters and counting for the write-in candidate from Kentucky.
3. Daniel Imperato (steady) -- Starting to speak out on top issues again as he travels the world on business, but needs to return to the US to take his campaign to the next level.
4. George Phillies (steady) -- Working to appeal to reformers in the LP as Kubby takes a more traditional Libertarian approach.
5. Christine Smith (rising) -- Gaining supporters and making a concerted effort to be a serious contender in the Libertarian field.
Best Week: Sam Brownback. Announcement that he will enter the Republican contest earned extended coverage in the national press, and highlighted conservative disappointment with Giuliani and McCain.
Worst Week: Mitt Romney. Brownback arrived on the scene, and a Gallup "top-of-mind" poll showed only 1% picking Romney in an unprompted survey.
Friday, December 08, 2006
Friday Top Five, December 8th
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17 comments:
Imperato has had over 1,000,000 visitors to his websites. Remember he has a few of them daniel2008.com and imperato2008.com which was formerly imperatobrooks.com. Not to mention thepeoplespresident2008.com is still running
I think people are underestimating John Edwards thus far in the early going. I have heard that he is pretty much the dark horse candidate. I think the more Clinton and Obama wait to get into the race, the more it helps Edwards.
Edwards is old news... Vote for John Cox.
Speaking of John Cox, his campaign had a great week, too. A Manchester, NH office has opened, and one in Iowa and South Carolina are being prepared for opening, too. The campaign also hired a field director for New Hampshire.
Trips are being planned in the new year for John Cox to visit NH, Iowa and SC.
This campaign is ON THE MOVE.
Is Aaron Russo running?
None of the candidates in the top five Republican list are very good.
Giuliani is non-conservative on social issues and was supported by the Liberal Party of New York in his candidacy for mayor.
McCain is not tough enough on boarder security and his stand on some social issues is blured.
It isn't clear where Romney stands on abortion and although I don't think his religion should be a factor in his candidacy it is and that could bring him down.
Gingrich has shown that he can't run his family honestly so how will he be able to run the country honestly?
Last of all Sam Brownback took the same stand on illegal immigration as Hillary Clinton.
Romney is the GOP's best chance to retain the White House in 2008. No one other than someone who has been a governor or a vice president has been elected president since the 1960 election.
The presidency is an administrative job.
Uh...no. But why, may I ask, is a write-in candidate with 338 supporters (that's tiny, folks) second in the third-party list? That makes no sense.
Gore won a December Daily Kos straw poll overwhelmingly
Who is your favorite potential 2008 candidate from the list below?
Tom Vilsack 78 votes - 0 %
Bill Richardson 227 votes - 1 %
Barack Obama 1844 votes - 12 %
John Kerry 124 votes - 0 %
Mike Gravel 32 votes - 0 %
Al Gore 8169 votes - 57 %
John Edwards 1533 votes - 10 %
Christopher Dodd 23 votes - 0 %
Hillary Clinton 292 votes - 2 %
Wesley Clark 1734 votes - 12 %
Joe Biden 72 votes - 0 %
Evan Bayh 142 votes - 0 %
14270 Total Votes
Poll submitted: Wed Dec 06, 2006 at 08:59:41 AM PST
Libertarian Republican Presidential Poll now up at www.mainstreamlibertarian.com. So far, Rudy Giuliani is the libertarian Republican favorite. (My own personal favorite is Top Vegas Sports Oddsmaker Wayne Root. Rumor is he's going to run in the GOP primaries on the Internet Gaming Ban issue).
As for the Libertarian Party, all the candidates you list are 2nd tier at best, actually more like 3rd tier.
Just heard a rumor that Penn of Penn & Teller, might be interested in the LP nomination. And 2004 World Champ Poker Player Greg Raymer just announced for the LP's VP slot.
I strongly suspect the guys at LP National are working at a behind the scenes Top-notch ticket.
Could that "secret candidacy" be a Penn/Raymer ticket?
Let's hope so, so the LP isn't stuck with running the likes of Nobodies like George Phillies or Steve Kubby.
"Just heard a rumor that Penn of Penn & Teller, might be interested in the LP nomination. And 2004 World Champ Poker Player Greg Raymer just announced for the LP's VP slot."
Is there any proof to back up this rumor? If the rumor is true, it would be huge. It would bring automatic publicity, the entertainment and sports world would be all over it, and they both have a ton of money to use. However, I'm hestitant to believe it.
This is probably the wrong place to bring it up but as a Green I take a strong interest in the internal affairs of the party and therefore I read as much as I can about the party thus I stumbled onto thenextprez. While looking at your online polls I noticed that one of the Green Candidates Matt Gonzalez had his name misspelled (Mat Gonzalez) I just wanted to let you know because it seems to be a shame that a website that spends as much energy as yours does on third parties would misspell the name of a man who potentially is the most qualified of all the third party challengers and along with Rick Jore is the only third party candidate included in the polls who has been elected to office. So if you can please correct this misspelling, its hard enough for greens to get coverage even in the blogesphere it becomes that much more difficult when names are misspelled.
Penn and Teller cooperated in the production of a Libertarian Party promotional DVD earlier this year. At that time, there was considerable talk of getting them to run as a ticket, or just getting Penn Gillette to seek the LP's presidential nomination.
My impression of his/their response was that it came down to a friendly "not only no, but f--k no."
That's understandable -- an entertainment career is a delicate thing for most celebrities, something for which one needs to always be available. Taking two years off to run for president is a very big deal.
Sorry about the typo in Matt Gonzalez' name in this month's poll -- it will be corrected in the January poll. I have his name spelled correctly in the Green Party section on my candidates page:
http://thenextprez.blogspot.com/2006/11/2008-presidential-candidates.html
NeuvoLiberal said...
Gore won a December Daily Kos straw poll overwhelmingly
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Daily Kos ran two polls, one with active/probable candidates, and one with Al Gore included. I am focusing on active and probable candidates on this site, and so far Gore has disclaimed interest several times, while leaving a faint possibility open that he could change his mind in the future.
Nigel Watt said...
But why, may I ask, is a write-in candidate with 338 supporters (that's tiny, folks) second in the third-party list?
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My rankings reflect what I see as the current standings, not a prediction of where they might end up. Adams is generating publicity (several online interviews and one televised) and building a following.
Whoever wins the nominations of the Libertarian, Green, and Constitution parties will start out with tens of thousands of supporters, but few of the candidates have significant support as yet.
Is Aaron Russo running?
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I've heard rumors that he is considering, or being considered by the Reform, Libertarian, Constitution, and Republican parties, or that he may run as an independent or under the Unity 08 label.
I suspect it is all speculation at this point, since I haven't heard any statements from Russo himself.
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